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Αλέξανδρος Γ. Σφακιανάκης

Monday, June 28, 2021

Clinical Impact of a Novel Model Predictive of Oncotype DX Recurrence Score in Breast Cancer

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In Vivo. 2021 Jul-Aug;35(4):2439-2444. doi: 10.21873/invivo.12522.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND/AIM: Oncotype DX recurrence score (RS) for breast cancer is a useful tool for determining chemotherapy indication but it is expensive and time-consuming. We determined whether four immuno-histochemical markers, namely human epidermal growth factor 2 (HER2), estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor (PgR), and Ki-67, are predictive of an RS ≥26 in Japanese patients.

PATIENTS AND METHODS: The study included 95 Japanese patients evaluated for RS. A predictive model was created using logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS: The discriminant function was calculated as follows: p=1/{1+exp [-(4.611+1.2342×HER2-0.0813×ER- 0.0489 ×PgR+0.0857×Ki67)]}. Using a probability of 0.5 as the cutoff, the accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive and negative predictive values were 90.5%, 72.2%, 94.8%, 76.4% and 93.5%, respectively.

CONCLUSION: The model had a high negative predictive value in predicting RS ≥26 in Japanese patients, indicating that Oncotype DX testing may be omitted in patients with a negative result according to the predictive model.

PMID:34182528 | DOI:10.21873/invivo.12522

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