Predictors of five-year survival among patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

Cancer shared this article with you from Inoreader Predictors of five-year survival among patients with hepatocellular carcinoma in the United States: an analysis of SEER-Medicare Via Latest Results for Cancer Causes Abstract Background Most patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are ≥ 65 years old at diagnosis and ~ 20% present with disease amenable to curative intent surgical therapy. The aim of this study was to examine whether treatment, the demographic variables, and clinical factors could predict 5-year survival among HCC patients. Methods We included patients, 66 years or older, diagnosed with a first primary HCC from 1994 through 2007 in the SEER-Medicare database, and followed up until death or 31 December 2012. Curative intent treatment was defined as liver transplantation, surgery resection, or ablation. We estimated odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for associations with 5-year survival using logistic regression. Results We identified 10,826 patients with HCC with mean age 75.3 (standard deviation, 6.4) years. Most were male (62.2%) and non-Hispanic white (59.7%). Overall, only 8.1% of patients were alive 5 years post-HCC diagnosis date. Among all patients that survived ≥ 5 years, 69.8% received potentially curative treatment. Conversely, patients who received potentially curative treatment represented only 15.7% of patients who survived < 5 years. Curative intent treatment was the strongest predictor for surviving ≥ 5 years (vs. none/palliative treatment; adjusted OR 8.12, 95% CI 6.90–9.64). While stage at diagnosis and comorbidities were also independently associated with ≥ 5-year survival in HCC patients, these factors did not improve discrimination between short- and long-term survivors. Conclusions Curative intent treatment was the strongest predictor for survival ≥ 5 years among HCC patients. Given the limited availability of liver transplant and limited eligibility for surgical resection, finding curative intent HCC therapies remain critically important. View on the web Inoreader. Take back control of your news feed. Follow us on Twitter and Facebook.